Our reasoning on the future, on sectors, and on individual businesses — together with the thinking that led there. Some of it becomes an investment; most of it does not.

Reasoning

Aug 3, 2026

Cheap Inference, Expensive Judgment

As the cost of inference collapses, value will accumulate not with those who produce cheap inference but with those who rebuild their decisions around it — read through electrification's thirty-year wait.

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